Glenn Thrush, Politico: 5 reasons Trump might fall in autumn
Most intriguing: “Everything has gone Trump’s way — and he’s still not ahead.”
For the past week or 10 days, Trump can’t do anything wrong and Clinton can’t do anything right. And he’s still behind in the polls.
Another factor that might undermine Trump: Trump himself. Trump sees this election as much as an opportunity for self-expression as for winning the election. When he gets cocky, he starts saying offensive things, and when those backfire he gets MORE outrageous.
And, finally, Trump’s biggest enemy is fear.
Clinton’s biggest problem is that her supporters are a lot less enthusiastic about her than Trump’s supporters are about him. Hell, I’m an unusually enthusiastic Clinton supporter but an objective observer would label my support as “lukewarm.”
However, the prospect of a Trump White House scares the piss out of me.
I was talking with a friend the other day who is an astute political observer — and who, unlike me, hates both Clinton AND Trump. He said he sees it as highly likely that the United States would experience a military coup within a year of Trump taking the oath of office as President.
That possibility had not occurred to me — and I found I agreed with him, and was relieved.
That’s how scary Trump’s campaign is. A military coup seems like one of the BETTER outcomes of the 2016 election.
And, as Thrush notes, in an election, fear is as big a motivator as love.
Of course, that goes both ways. Trump’s racist supporters are terrified that a Clinton Presidency would be the death of white America. And they might be right, too — only what they see as a nightmare scenario, the rest of us see as the culmination of Martin Luther King’s vision and the American dream — of America as a place where a person is judged by “the content of their character,” not skin color, religion, gender, ethnicity, or sexual orientation. Even if Clinton wins the election, there’d still be a long way to go to achieve that vision. But this election could be a tipping point. One way or the other.